Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 2078.458995 2266.258322 2458.205478 2668.778914 2893.003013 3124.338495 3380.761032
2024-10-13 1770.944486 2046.563804 2340.579670 2676.434055 3048.302676 3446.297882 3903.291914
2024-10-20 1572.971628 1899.295899 2258.679307 2681.499691 3162.920931 3691.596679 4313.582653
2024-10-27 1367.990351 1718.299774 2115.217923 2594.433227 3153.368412 3780.735596 4534.029997
2024-11-03 1296.512271 1681.398970 2127.556525 2677.359542 3330.803242 4076.728961 4986.421012
2024-11-10 1219.933235 1630.087268 2115.711680 2725.492702 3462.695209 4317.081842 5373.574536
2024-11-17 1128.853764 1553.335678 2066.417112 2722.448555 3528.591391 4476.359450 5663.641638
2024-11-24 1035.811272 1467.193065 1999.275668 2691.642857 3555.831758 4585.776107 5891.903408
2024-12-01 979.539317 1423.802743 1981.692191 2718.898050 3651.632132 4776.398681 6217.812077
2024-12-08 917.113472 1368.091050 1944.637396 2718.169306 3709.969726 4919.697826 6485.780676
2024-12-15 882.327204 1346.715115 1949.813278 2769.752325 3833.204863 5143.099445 6853.576728
2024-12-22 825.430308 1291.740202 1907.739797 2757.214139 3872.553927 5260.690157 7089.916616
2024-12-29 799.809511 1279.497748 1922.698618 2820.709832 4012.299758 5508.583744 7495.688255
2025-01-05 755.733766 1238.781852 1897.209139 2828.952470 4079.532663 5665.001634 7788.131404
2025-01-12 714.202182 1199.190544 1871.003654 2834.243955 4141.476810 5814.083738 8071.774978
2025-01-19 644.274308 1113.895028 1777.222312 2743.361346 4071.877703 5790.281165 8131.543190
2025-01-26 635.713596 1119.726939 1811.855358 2829.923082 4241.347404 6079.304667 8597.895619
2025-02-02 616.627912 1108.320424 1820.873435 2880.154355 4361.632650 6304.680817 8983.580955
2025-02-09 583.124996 1072.718565 1793.110408 2876.977771 4407.856636 6431.866278 9241.450764
2025-02-16 543.787754 1025.708623 1746.472757 2844.829910 4412.408877 6502.477994 9424.493255
2025-02-23 523.408088 1007.924134 1742.359254 2873.272755 4501.007719 6686.097874 9758.497004
2025-03-02 496.680182 978.292465 1719.027445 2872.512292 4547.816672 6813.127826 10017.743704
2025-03-09 485.205180 973.307328 1732.870278 2926.335669 4672.221124 7046.564698 10421.576613